Module 4 : Macroscopic And Mesoscopic Traffic Flow Modeling
Lecture 19 : Traffic Progression Models
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Platoon Dispersion

As a platoon moves downstream from an upstream intersection, the vehicles disperse i.e., the distance between the vehicles increase which may be due to the differences in the vehicle speeds, vehicle interactions (lane changing and merging) and other interferences (parking, pedestrians, etc.,). This phenomenon is called as Platoon Dispersion.

Dispersion has been found to be a function of the travel time from a signal to a downstream signal (or other downstream location) and the length of the platoon. The longer the travel time between signals, the greater the dispersion. This is intuitively logical since the longer the travel time, the more time (opportunity) there is for different drivers to deviate from the average travel time. A simple case of Platoon Dispersion is as shown in Fig. 1. From the figure, it can be observed that, initially the peak of the platoon is high and the length of the platoon is comparatively small, but as the platoon progresses downstream, the peak of the platoon decreases and the length increases.

Figure 1: A simple case of Platoon Dispersion
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Various traffic engineering software like TRANSYT (Traffic Network Study Tool) and SCOOT (Split Cycle Offset Optimization Technique) have employed the phenomenon of Platoon Dispersion for the prediction of Arrival Types. A flow profile obtained from TRANSYT-7F is as shown in the Fig. 2. From this figure also, it can be observed that, initially the peak of the platoon is high and the length of the platoon is small, but as the platoon progresses downstream, the peak of the platoon decreases and the length increases.

Figure 2: A TRANSYT-7F Flow Profile
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Platoon Dispersion Models

Platoon dispersion models simulate the dispersion of a traffic stream as it travels downstream by estimating vehicle arrivals at downstream locations based on an upstream vehicle departure profile and a desired traffic-stream speed. There are two kinds of mathematical models describing the dispersion of the platoon, namely:
  1. Normal Distribution Model - proposed by Pacey
  2. Geometric Distribution Model - proposed by Robertson
One of the geometric distribution models is the Robertson's platoon dispersion model, which has become a virtually universal standard platoon dispersion model and has been implemented in various traffic simulation software. Research has already been conducted on the applicability of platoon dispersion as a reliable traffic movement model in urban street networks. Most of the research has shown that Robertson's model of platoon dispersion is reliable, accurate, and robust.