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Example 1.6
Consider we put an item into use and obviously it will fail after some time. When it fails it is replaced by another item of the same type. We may safely assume that which denotes the lives of the items (they are all similar remember) are independent (a restrictive assumption) and each item fails at the time with a probability denoted by , such that . Also let us consider that the distribution, is aperiodic such that . If is the age of the item at time (here is where we bring the time concept as relevant for the Stochastic Process), i.e., the number of periods (including the ) it has been in use, then we may assume is a random walk (a good example of Markov chain) with the transition probabilities which can be calculated using .
Example 1.7
Consider an insurance company has just started, say at time period , and the initial fixed capital the company has is . In due course of time the company receives amounts Y1, Y2,.. in form of premiums and other incomes, while at the same time due to insurance claims and other expenses it has to shelf out amounts denoted by W1, W2,…. . One should remember that these inputs and outputs are happening at same instances of time, which are Now the amount of money the insurance company has at any point of time is given by .
It is obvious that the insurance company goes bankrupt in case . Thus if we assume that and are two separate sequences then is a random walk starting at with jumps , and so on. An interesting thing is the fact that for this random walk we have an absorbing barrier at the origin such that the random walk is denoted by:
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