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Let be the estimate of the random variable based on the random variable .Clearly is a function of .We have to find best estimate be in some meaningful sense. Observe that
is the unknown random variable
is the estimate of .
is the estimation error.
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is the mean of the square error.
One meaningful criterion is to minimize with respect to and the corresponding estimation principle is called the minimum mean-square error principle . Such a function which we want to minimize is called a cost function in optimization theory . For finding we have to minimize the cost function .
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