Theorem 4.5 (Wald's Equations)
Consider a sequence which are i.i.d, have a finite expectation and also assume that is a stopping time for , such that , then
.
Proof of Theorem 4.5
Before we venture in trying to proof the above theorem note the interesting thing when both and are probabilistic.
Let us consider the indicator function, , where , such that we will have
.
Hence
We will stop if we successfully observe . Thus we do not terminate our experiment as and when we like but continue to observe and stop ONLY at the last reading which is . Therefore is independent of .
We thus obtain
(remember here the suffix is not relevant as it can be any )
Let denote the inter arrival time of a renewal process. In this experiment let us consider we stop at the first renewal after , i.e., at the renewal.
Note
and
Thus the event depends only on and is definitely independent of such that is the stopping time
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