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If one wants to analyze brand loyalty using the concept of Markov Chain model, then the number of states very naturally becomes equal to , as we are only interested in studying the long term transition probabilities of a particular person in our study group switching from one brand say the to another one say the in the group of , where in any combination, i.e., one can move from to , or from to , etc. Hence theoretically one may consider that after the survey the transition probability matrix between the number of brands may be noted down as given below:
Table 11.1 : Transition probability matrix for the brand loyalty example
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Now if we denote this matrix as , our aim is to study in the long run such that as a brand manager of a particular product in a company can analyze the trend of switching between brands of a group of customer in order to draw some meaningful conclusion in the long run.
In order to find , things like income effect, age, quality, availability, image, etc., can be brought in to the study which throw some light on the how these variables have a positive/negative impact on brand switching and how one can find the respective probability as given above. The way to analyze that can be through the questionnaire made which would give us a good picture about how to modify and quantify the probabilities of transition between brands in the short term, which can be further analyzed to find the long term probabilities such that brand loyalty as a objective value can be studied more intensely and in detail.
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